Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.118956 0.131278 0.143895 0.157752 0.172516 0.187749 0.204627
2024-12-22 0.093626 0.111462 0.130657 0.152729 0.177284 0.203644 0.233960
2024-12-29 0.081104 0.103116 0.127829 0.157332 0.191294 0.228876 0.273313
2025-01-05 0.071076 0.095952 0.124958 0.160730 0.203111 0.251192 0.309324
2025-01-12 0.062631 0.089435 0.121798 0.162889 0.212807 0.270657 0.341918
2025-01-19 0.055134 0.083117 0.118040 0.163591 0.220196 0.287047 0.370751
2025-01-26 0.053443 0.083920 0.122902 0.174746 0.240223 0.318581 0.417808
2025-02-02 0.048519 0.079865 0.121094 0.177137 0.249187 0.336660 0.448781
2025-02-09 0.044709 0.076916 0.120389 0.180660 0.259384 0.356177 0.481560
2025-02-16 0.040098 0.072364 0.117136 0.180507 0.264643 0.369432 0.506626
2025-02-23 0.039070 0.072924 0.120809 0.189551 0.281828 0.397749 0.550592
2025-03-02 0.037565 0.072591 0.123112 0.196677 0.296516 0.423006 0.590938
2025-03-09 0.033832 0.068665 0.120301 0.196973 0.302585 0.437923 0.619264
2025-03-16 0.029282 0.063019 0.114661 0.193082 0.302937 0.445517 0.638519
2025-03-23 0.027770 0.062241 0.116177 0.199322 0.317096 0.471231 0.681261
2025-03-30 0.025931 0.060717 0.116427 0.203666 0.328668 0.493664 0.720013
2025-04-06 0.023891 0.058618 0.115620 0.206350 0.337896 0.513046 0.754965
2025-04-13 0.021669 0.055944 0.113703 0.207234 0.344512 0.528940 0.785457
2025-04-20 0.022074 0.058242 0.119875 0.220397 0.368688 0.568646 0.847558
2025-04-27 0.020464 0.056486 0.119288 0.223219 0.378112 0.588516 0.883675
2025-05-04 0.019225 0.055329 0.119600 0.227362 0.389433 0.611028 0.923446
2025-05-11 0.017362 0.052682 0.117219 0.227184 0.394411 0.624864 0.951733
2025-05-18 0.017371 0.053983 0.121659 0.237795 0.415258 0.660656 1.009627